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The ceiling is high—but he might still be one year away
When the Buffalo Bills drafted Dawson Knox in the third round of the 2019 NFL Draft, they knew they were getting a prospect with lots of potential—and little pass-catching experience. While I loved the big-play ability from Knox last season, it might be a bit early to draft him as a starter for your fantasy team.
Considering that most fantasy leagues only start one tight end per weekend, it becomes a bit of a numbers game that works against Knox. ESPN currently has Knox as the preseason ranked number 27 tight end this year. I could argue that the ranking is too low for Knox, but in most of my leagues I am only drafting one tight end. Knox certainly has plenty of upside as a bye week fill-in or in daily fantasy leagues.
With all of this being said, Knox could be a viable option as a TE2 flier if your league has deeper rosters. I would prefer to have Knox as a high-upside TE as opposed to “safer” options like Jimmy Graham (no. 26), Kyle Rudolph (no. 24), and Eric Ebron (no. 19). Other options with plenty of potential as TE2 include Noah Fant (no. 11), Hayden Hurst (no. 15), and T.J. Hockensen (no. 16).
As mentioned earlier, I love the potential that Knox showed during his rookie season. I hope that he will show improvement when it comes to drops, as he continues to develop a rapport with Josh Allen. If these hopes do come true, Knox will be a popular free agent in all fantasy leagues across the country. But for now, I am holding off on drafting Knox during the 2020 season.