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AFC Championship Game first look: Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs odds and lines

January 20, 2025 by Bills Wire

The Buffalo Bills (15-4) will attempt to dethrone the 2-time defending-champion Kansas City Chiefs (16-2) Sunday in the AFC Championship Game. Kickoff from GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium is set for 6:30 p.m. ET. (CBS) Below, we look at Bills vs. Chiefs odds from BetMGM Sportsbook’s NFL odds before making our expert NFL picks and predictions later in the week.

The Bills survived a snowy, tightly contested game 27-25 Sunday against the Baltimore Ravens. QB Josh Allen didn’t have gaudy numbers, but he took care of the football and got it done. He was 16-for-22 for 127 yards, 0 TDs and 0 INTs. He ran 10 times for 20 yards and 2 TDs. The Bills defense turned the Ravens over 3 times.

The Chiefs took an intentional safety to run time off the clock near the end of the game, which cost them an ATS win as 9.5-point favorites, in a 23-14 win against the Houston Texans Saturday. QB Patrick Mahomes was 16-for-25 for 177 yards, 1 TD and 0 INTs. TE Travis Kelce had game highs with 7 grabs for 117 yards and 1 TD.

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Bills at Chiefs odds

Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated Monday at 12:05 a.m. ET.

  • Moneyline (ML): Bills +105 (bet $100 to win $1005) | Chiefs -125 (bet $125 to win $100)
  • Against the spread (ATS): Bills +1.5 (-110) | Chiefs -1.5 (-110)
  • Over/Under (O/U): 48 (O: -110 | U: -110)

Season betting stats

  • ML: Bills 15-4 | Chiefs 16-2
  • ATS: Bills 12-7 | Chiefs 8-10
  • O/U: Bills 12-6-1 | Chiefs 7-11

Bills vs. Chiefs head-to-head

The Bills lead the all-time series 30-25-1. This will be their third meeting in the playoffs in the last 4 years. K.C. won 42-36 in the AFC Championship in 2022. The Chiefs also won 27-24 in the Divisional Round in 2024. The Bills handed the Chiefs their first loss of the season 30-21 on Nov. 17 in Buffalo.

For more sports betting picks and tips, check out SportsbookWire.com and BetFTW. Follow Ryan Dodson on Twitter/X. Follow SportsbookWire on Twitter/X and like us on Facebook.

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